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Classical Hematology

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  • 00:00 --> 00:03Funding for Yale Cancer Answers is
  • 00:03 --> 00:06provided by Smilow Cancer Hospital.
  • 00:06 --> 00:08Welcome to Yale Cancer Answers
  • 00:08 --> 00:09with Doctor Anees Chagpar.
  • 00:09 --> 00:11Yale Cancer Answers features the
  • 00:11 --> 00:13latest information on cancer care
  • 00:13 --> 00:14by welcoming oncologists and
  • 00:14 --> 00:17specialists who are on the forefront
  • 00:17 --> 00:18of the battle to fight cancer.
  • 00:18 --> 00:20This week it's a conversation about
  • 00:20 --> 00:22the field of classical hematology
  • 00:22 --> 00:24with Doctor George Goshua.
  • 00:24 --> 00:26Dr Goshua is an assistant professor
  • 00:26 --> 00:28of medicine and hematology at
  • 00:28 --> 00:29the Yale School of Medicine,
  • 00:29 --> 00:31where Doctor Chagpar is a
  • 00:31 --> 00:33professor of surgical oncology.
  • 00:34 --> 00:35George, maybe we can start off by
  • 00:35 --> 00:37you telling us a little bit more
  • 00:37 --> 00:39about yourself and what it is you do.
  • 00:39 --> 00:41Of course, it would be my pleasure.
  • 00:41 --> 00:44I am a classical hematologist
  • 00:44 --> 00:46by training and methodologically
  • 00:46 --> 00:48I'm trained in decision science,
  • 00:48 --> 00:50so I'm also a decision scientist.
  • 00:50 --> 00:53And on faculty here at Yale
  • 00:53 --> 00:55University School of Medicine,
  • 00:55 --> 00:56I run the Goshua lab,
  • 00:56 --> 00:59which is a quantitative decision
  • 00:59 --> 01:00analytic modeling lab,
  • 01:01 --> 01:03the first in the country to
  • 01:03 --> 01:05focus on classical hematology.
  • 01:05 --> 01:07And I have the privilege of working
  • 01:07 --> 01:08with undergraduate students,
  • 01:08 --> 01:10graduate students at the School
  • 01:10 --> 01:11of Public Health,
  • 01:11 --> 01:13the School of Medicine,
  • 01:13 --> 01:14and beyond.
  • 01:14 --> 01:18Many of us have heard about hematology,
  • 01:18 --> 01:22but what exactly is classical hematology?
  • 01:22 --> 01:24It seems to remind me about classical
  • 01:24 --> 01:27music as opposed to music in general.
  • 01:27 --> 01:30So tell us more about what exactly is
  • 01:30 --> 01:33classical hematology and how that varies
  • 01:33 --> 01:35from all other forms of hematology.
  • 01:36 --> 01:39I'm really glad you asked that question.
  • 01:39 --> 01:42And that's because the field has really
  • 01:42 --> 01:45struggled with its name until very recently.
  • 01:45 --> 01:48The American Society of Hematology
  • 01:48 --> 01:52has put forward a campaign to
  • 01:52 --> 01:55unify the field and call
  • 01:55 --> 01:57it classical hematology.
  • 01:57 --> 01:59And the way that it differs from other
  • 01:59 --> 02:02hematology is that we take care of patients
  • 02:02 --> 02:04with non cancerous blood disorders.
  • 02:04 --> 02:06And the reason why the naming matters in
  • 02:06 --> 02:09particular is the other names for the field.
  • 02:09 --> 02:11There's two. There is non
  • 02:11 --> 02:11malignant hematology,
  • 02:11 --> 02:15so non cancerous and then benign
  • 02:15 --> 02:18hematology which is quite common and
  • 02:18 --> 02:20that latter term is particularly problematic
  • 02:23 --> 02:27because as we probably will discuss here,
  • 02:27 --> 02:30a lot of our patients have
  • 02:30 --> 02:32life altering diseases that they
  • 02:32 --> 02:35have to live with and in some cases
  • 02:35 --> 02:38very deadly diseases that can be
  • 02:38 --> 02:39deadly without appropriate treatment.
  • 02:39 --> 02:41And so for that reason there has been
  • 02:41 --> 02:44also a lot of frustration on our
  • 02:44 --> 02:46patients part with regards to being
  • 02:46 --> 02:48labeled as quote unquote benign.
  • 02:48 --> 02:50And so for that reason the field has
  • 02:50 --> 02:52moved forward now just this year
  • 02:52 --> 02:53actually with classical hematology.
  • 02:54 --> 02:56So give us some examples of
  • 02:56 --> 03:00some of the not malignant
  • 03:00 --> 03:02hematologic disorders that you treat.
  • 03:03 --> 03:05Of course, there's a lot
  • 03:05 --> 03:06of rare diseases in here,
  • 03:06 --> 03:09but there's also less rare diseases too.
  • 03:09 --> 03:11And so maybe I'll start with diseases
  • 03:11 --> 03:13that folks might be more familiar with,
  • 03:13 --> 03:15even though some of them are still rare.
  • 03:15 --> 03:17Sickle cell disease in particular, right?
  • 03:17 --> 03:19I think a lot of us know individuals
  • 03:19 --> 03:21who live with sickle cell disease.
  • 03:21 --> 03:23But then as we move forward,
  • 03:23 --> 03:26think about all of your
  • 03:26 --> 03:28auto immune conditions,
  • 03:28 --> 03:30so conditions where the immune
  • 03:30 --> 03:31system is dysregulated.
  • 03:31 --> 03:33And then that causes derangements
  • 03:33 --> 03:34in the blood parameters.
  • 03:34 --> 03:38And so these are diseases in the realm of one
  • 03:38 --> 03:41to three in a million in terms of incidence.
  • 03:41 --> 03:43And examples include paroxysmal
  • 03:43 --> 03:45nocturnal hemoglobinuria,
  • 03:45 --> 03:48immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura,
  • 03:48 --> 03:50chronic immune thrombocytopenia,
  • 03:50 --> 03:51porphyrias.
  • 03:51 --> 03:53And then when you think
  • 03:53 --> 03:54about more common things,
  • 03:54 --> 03:56venous thromboembolism which affects hundreds
  • 03:56 --> 03:59of thousands of Americans every year,
  • 03:59 --> 04:01iron deficiency anemia
  • 04:01 --> 04:04which affects a lot of our men and women,
  • 04:04 --> 04:06and in particular pregnant
  • 04:06 --> 04:08women as well in this country.
  • 04:08 --> 04:10So that's a little bit
  • 04:10 --> 04:12of a sampling of the more rare
  • 04:12 --> 04:13and then the more common.
  • 04:15 --> 04:18It really seems to be a
  • 04:18 --> 04:21wide spectrum of disease.
  • 04:21 --> 04:23And is the only linkage
  • 04:23 --> 04:25between all of them that they
  • 04:25 --> 04:27have to have something to do
  • 04:27 --> 04:29with blood and blood disorders?
  • 04:29 --> 04:31I think that's very fair to say.
  • 04:31 --> 04:34Yeah, it's interesting because at least in
  • 04:34 --> 04:39the case of let's say autoimmune disorders.
  • 04:39 --> 04:41Sometimes in some of them if
  • 04:41 --> 04:43you want to think about it,
  • 04:43 --> 04:45this is how I think about it with my
  • 04:45 --> 04:47patients when we talk together
  • 04:47 --> 04:49in clinic, you can think about it as
  • 04:49 --> 04:51the disease spilling over into the
  • 04:51 --> 04:54blood and the blood is very sensitive.
  • 04:54 --> 04:56We have multiple cell lines
  • 04:56 --> 04:57that can be affected.
  • 04:57 --> 05:00We have multiple proteins floating
  • 05:00 --> 05:03in there and our immune system
  • 05:03 --> 05:05that has been so finely tuned over
  • 05:05 --> 05:07over millennia and any of these
  • 05:07 --> 05:09parameters can be thrown off.
  • 05:09 --> 05:11And so I think it's very fair to
  • 05:11 --> 05:13say that the commonality here is
  • 05:13 --> 05:15that there's some underlying issue
  • 05:15 --> 05:17that's happening to one of or more
  • 05:17 --> 05:18of those parameters in the blood.
  • 05:19 --> 05:22Because it also seems that
  • 05:22 --> 05:25when you're thinking about things as
  • 05:25 --> 05:30diverse as ITP versus sickle cell,
  • 05:30 --> 05:33anemia versus thromboembolism,
  • 05:33 --> 05:36the treatments are very different.
  • 05:36 --> 05:39The patient populations are very different.
  • 05:39 --> 05:41Even the blood cells that are
  • 05:41 --> 05:42affected are very different.
  • 05:44 --> 05:45That's exactly correct.
  • 05:45 --> 05:49There's a beautiful diversity and
  • 05:49 --> 05:51heterogeneity within the field.
  • 05:51 --> 05:54There are classical hematologists who
  • 05:54 --> 05:56particularly focus or sub-specialize
  • 05:56 --> 05:58further even within that field.
  • 05:58 --> 06:00That is part of the reason why,
  • 06:00 --> 06:01because there is such a diversity.
  • 06:01 --> 06:04And then there are other classical
  • 06:04 --> 06:06hematologists who are more generalists
  • 06:06 --> 06:08as they would be in any specialty
  • 06:08 --> 06:10that kind of see the full spectrum
  • 06:10 --> 06:12and then if there are complications
  • 06:12 --> 06:14or there's a particularly
  • 06:14 --> 06:16high risk situation,
  • 06:16 --> 06:17in those circumstances,
  • 06:17 --> 06:21they will often refer to a tertiary
  • 06:21 --> 06:24academic Center for further evaluation.
  • 06:24 --> 06:28George, many of us may
  • 06:28 --> 06:31be familiar with some of these
  • 06:31 --> 06:33blood disorders that you mentioned,
  • 06:33 --> 06:35but you also mentioned that you
  • 06:35 --> 06:38have a laboratory that focuses on
  • 06:38 --> 06:41quantitative modeling and decision
  • 06:41 --> 06:44analytics that seems to be very
  • 06:44 --> 06:46different from what we would
  • 06:46 --> 06:48normally think of as a hematologist.
  • 06:48 --> 06:52Tell us more about how those two
  • 06:52 --> 06:54areas of interest and expertise
  • 06:54 --> 06:56kind of merged for you.
  • 06:58 --> 07:00Well, I think it has a lot to
  • 07:00 --> 07:02do with advocacy. By definition,
  • 07:02 --> 07:06a lot of our diseases are rare in
  • 07:06 --> 07:08our field all across the spectrum.
  • 07:08 --> 07:10When you combine them all together,
  • 07:10 --> 07:12you really get very
  • 07:12 --> 07:14significant numbers of individuals.
  • 07:14 --> 07:15But within each bin,
  • 07:15 --> 07:18if we want to think about it that way,
  • 07:18 --> 07:21some of the diseases are particularly rare.
  • 07:21 --> 07:23And it is for that reason that you start
  • 07:23 --> 07:25to think more and more about decision
  • 07:25 --> 07:28making in an area where there are a lot of
  • 07:28 --> 07:31diseases that are rare and in an
  • 07:31 --> 07:34area where there are, let's say,
  • 07:34 --> 07:37less prospective randomized clinical trials,
  • 07:37 --> 07:41perhaps more of a dependence
  • 07:41 --> 07:43on observational data,
  • 07:43 --> 07:46you start to think about trying to make
  • 07:46 --> 07:49decisions with your patients in the
  • 07:49 --> 07:52clinic and in the hospital in some cases,
  • 07:52 --> 07:55some of which have very significant
  • 07:55 --> 07:58consequences or can have very significant
  • 07:58 --> 08:00consequences on the rest of their lives.
  • 08:00 --> 08:03We use strong immunosuppressive agents.
  • 08:03 --> 08:06We use anticoagulation,
  • 08:06 --> 08:09blood thinners that can predispose
  • 08:09 --> 08:11people if using correctly,
  • 08:11 --> 08:16unnecessarily to a risk of bleeding and so
  • 08:16 --> 08:20it feels very natural to try and
  • 08:20 --> 08:23quantitatively try to approach
  • 08:23 --> 08:27these decisions and put them in a
  • 08:27 --> 08:30framework that matters to patients,
  • 08:30 --> 08:31to physicians,
  • 08:31 --> 08:34to payers and then try to push
  • 08:34 --> 08:37the care of patients forward.
  • 08:37 --> 08:40And decision science is really nice
  • 08:40 --> 08:42because one of the very wonderful
  • 08:42 --> 08:44and unique things about it is
  • 08:44 --> 08:46it's very explicit in its
  • 08:46 --> 08:49measurement and reporting of uncertainty and
  • 08:49 --> 08:53so any decision that we make in our lives,
  • 08:53 --> 08:55anytime you think of a trade off
  • 08:55 --> 08:56and I think about trade-offs all
  • 08:56 --> 08:59of the time, decision scientists do,
  • 08:59 --> 09:01but everyone does beyond decision
  • 09:01 --> 09:01scientists too,
  • 09:02 --> 09:02right?
  • 09:02 --> 09:04It doesn't have to apply to medicine
  • 09:04 --> 09:06every time you think of a trade off.
  • 09:06 --> 09:10And the downstream effects thereof,
  • 09:10 --> 09:12all of that can be captured and that's
  • 09:12 --> 09:14the really exciting part because I
  • 09:14 --> 09:16think we have an opportunity to move
  • 09:16 --> 09:18the care of these patients forward and help improve
  • 09:19 --> 09:22the areas of our health system,
  • 09:22 --> 09:24and there are many that need improvement.
  • 09:26 --> 09:28And so it sounds like you know this
  • 09:28 --> 09:30whole area of decision science
  • 09:30 --> 09:32would have broad applicability
  • 09:32 --> 09:35to all fields of medicine really
  • 09:35 --> 09:38where we're balancing as you say
  • 09:38 --> 09:40trade-offs between risks and benefits
  • 09:40 --> 09:43and how each patient might value
  • 09:43 --> 09:46each of those things differently.
  • 09:46 --> 09:49Talk a little bit more about kind of
  • 09:49 --> 09:52the practical examples of how you
  • 09:52 --> 09:55applied decision science in your clinical
  • 09:55 --> 09:56endeavors.
  • 09:58 --> 10:02Of course. We'll start with an
  • 10:02 --> 10:05earlier example
  • 10:05 --> 10:08and then I'll work my way forward.
  • 10:08 --> 10:10So anytime you think of a decision problem,
  • 10:10 --> 10:12and you think of trade-offs,
  • 10:12 --> 10:14you want to be able to make sure that you
  • 10:14 --> 10:17have it laid out clearly in front of you.
  • 10:17 --> 10:20And so I'm going to use a very
  • 10:20 --> 10:22interesting problem because it employs
  • 10:22 --> 10:243 different strategies in a disease
  • 10:24 --> 10:27where your platelet counts are low,
  • 10:27 --> 10:28chronic immune thrombocytopenia.
  • 10:28 --> 10:31When your platelet counts are low,
  • 10:31 --> 10:33you're at an increased risk of bleeding.
  • 10:33 --> 10:36And for that reason
  • 10:36 --> 10:38there are treatment options and
  • 10:38 --> 10:40treatments that we do pursue for
  • 10:40 --> 10:42individuals whose platelet
  • 10:42 --> 10:44counts are particularly low because
  • 10:44 --> 10:47we don't want them to have a bleed,
  • 10:47 --> 10:49especially if it's a bleed in the head,
  • 10:49 --> 10:51sometimes a bleed in the gut,
  • 10:52 --> 10:54the bleeding can really happen anywhere,
  • 10:54 --> 10:56but there are certain higher risk areas.
  • 10:56 --> 10:59And so in thinking through that,
  • 10:59 --> 11:01by the time an individual has,
  • 11:01 --> 11:02let's say,
  • 11:02 --> 11:04a diagnosis of immune thrombocytopenia,
  • 11:04 --> 11:05by the time they reach 12 months,
  • 11:05 --> 11:07it's defined as chronic.
  • 11:07 --> 11:09It's done that way because there's a
  • 11:09 --> 11:11subset of individuals who will never go on
  • 11:11 --> 11:13to develop chronic immune thrombocytopenia.
  • 11:13 --> 11:15Their platelet counts will improve,
  • 11:15 --> 11:16sometimes even spontaneously and
  • 11:16 --> 11:19sometimes with a little bit of treatment,
  • 11:19 --> 11:22and they will no longer need any treatment.
  • 11:22 --> 11:23But for the vast majority of
  • 11:23 --> 11:26individuals who do get to the stage
  • 11:26 --> 11:28of having one year of this disease,
  • 11:28 --> 11:31now they have a chronic disease and within
  • 11:31 --> 11:34we know the Natural History of that disease
  • 11:35 --> 11:35at that point,
  • 11:35 --> 11:37it's much less likely that
  • 11:37 --> 11:38it's going to dissipate.
  • 11:38 --> 11:40And so often these
  • 11:40 --> 11:41individuals need treatment.
  • 11:41 --> 11:43And so the treatment decision
  • 11:43 --> 11:43here is fascinating.
  • 11:43 --> 11:46And this is 1 classic example where
  • 11:46 --> 11:48a randomized control trial will
  • 11:48 --> 11:50never be done for reasons that
  • 11:50 --> 11:51will become clear in a moment.
  • 11:51 --> 11:55And that is the fact that our treatment
  • 11:55 --> 11:57options include three options here.
  • 11:57 --> 11:59And they include a surgical approach,
  • 11:59 --> 12:02splenectomy to try and remove the
  • 12:02 --> 12:04spleen and remove a site of production.
  • 12:04 --> 12:07Of all of these auto antibodies that
  • 12:07 --> 12:10are in part driving the disease process.
  • 12:10 --> 12:13And we know that about 60% of
  • 12:13 --> 12:15individuals will then never have to
  • 12:15 --> 12:19think or worry about this disease again.
  • 12:19 --> 12:20At the same time,
  • 12:20 --> 12:22splenectomy carries the risks
  • 12:22 --> 12:24of infection that are lifelong.
  • 12:24 --> 12:25Although they are time variant,
  • 12:25 --> 12:27they change over time.
  • 12:27 --> 12:30It carries a risk of developing a
  • 12:30 --> 12:32blood clot overtime going forward
  • 12:32 --> 12:34and that's also time variant that
  • 12:34 --> 12:35changes with time.
  • 12:35 --> 12:38And separately anytime you perform surgery
  • 12:38 --> 12:41there is a risk of having complications.
  • 12:41 --> 12:44And even deaths from the surgery itself.
  • 12:44 --> 12:47And so you think about a strategy
  • 12:47 --> 12:49like that versus thinking about the
  • 12:49 --> 12:51two other options which include
  • 12:51 --> 12:52thrombopoietin receptor agonists,
  • 12:52 --> 12:54which are these therapies
  • 12:54 --> 12:56that are taken chronically,
  • 12:56 --> 12:58either intravenously or by
  • 12:58 --> 13:02mouth as tablets and
  • 13:02 --> 13:04technically have been studied going
  • 13:04 --> 13:06forward and thinking about using
  • 13:06 --> 13:08them for a prolonged period of time,
  • 13:08 --> 13:11so not just a few weeks or a few
  • 13:11 --> 13:13months with the idea being that
  • 13:13 --> 13:14you might have to be on
  • 13:14 --> 13:15this therapy lifelong.
  • 13:15 --> 13:17There are certain very
  • 13:17 --> 13:18expensive costs of course,
  • 13:18 --> 13:19that accrue with this therapy,
  • 13:19 --> 13:23both to the health system and to patients.
  • 13:23 --> 13:25And about 1/3 of patients at a median of
  • 13:25 --> 13:282 1/2 years can come off of therapy and
  • 13:28 --> 13:30probably be successful
  • 13:30 --> 13:32though we don't have enough follow
  • 13:32 --> 13:34up time to know for sure and then
  • 13:34 --> 13:36separate from that in the last third
  • 13:38 --> 13:40is an immunosuppressive agent called
  • 13:40 --> 13:42Rituximab that depletes those cells
  • 13:42 --> 13:44that produce those troublesome auto
  • 13:44 --> 13:46antibodies and you have response
  • 13:47 --> 13:48in about 50% of individuals
  • 13:48 --> 13:51at about a year.
  • 13:51 --> 13:53And then that response starts to degrade,
  • 13:53 --> 13:55it starts to decrease,
  • 13:55 --> 13:57and people will have relapses.
  • 13:57 --> 13:58And so if you can imagine,
  • 13:58 --> 14:00you have these three options.
  • 14:00 --> 14:01But in truth,
  • 14:01 --> 14:03you can also sequence these options.
  • 14:03 --> 14:06And if you look at the American
  • 14:06 --> 14:08Society of Hematology guidelines,
  • 14:08 --> 14:10there's this inherent struggle with
  • 14:10 --> 14:12how do you actually rank these options
  • 14:12 --> 14:14when they have not been compared
  • 14:14 --> 14:17head-to-head and who is going to be
  • 14:17 --> 14:18randomizing people to receive surgery,
  • 14:18 --> 14:19splenectomy versus not,
  • 14:19 --> 14:22that's not going to happen.
  • 14:22 --> 14:24But we do have 20 years of follow-up data
  • 14:24 --> 14:28with this modality with surgery specifically.
  • 14:28 --> 14:29And in the clinics
  • 14:29 --> 14:32we can see that over the last 20 years,
  • 14:32 --> 14:35the utilization of surgery has significantly
  • 14:35 --> 14:38gone down in part because of these newer,
  • 14:38 --> 14:40more expensive therapies,
  • 14:40 --> 14:41not because
  • 14:41 --> 14:44a splenectomy is not an effective option.
  • 14:44 --> 14:49And so that is a perfect setup then and
  • 14:49 --> 14:51framework to start thinking about how
  • 14:51 --> 14:54do we actually accurately model this,
  • 14:54 --> 14:55how do we show what the benefit is
  • 14:55 --> 14:57on a population level and then can
  • 14:57 --> 14:59we also make it covariate specific?
  • 14:59 --> 15:01Meaning if you look at the
  • 15:01 --> 15:02specific comorbidities,
  • 15:02 --> 15:04IE the diseases that the patients
  • 15:04 --> 15:05have and their likeliness to
  • 15:05 --> 15:07respond to one of these therapies,
  • 15:07 --> 15:09can we build that in further than
  • 15:09 --> 15:11to try and make it an individualized
  • 15:11 --> 15:13personalized treatment decision for them?
  • 15:14 --> 15:16We'll pick up that conversation,
  • 15:16 --> 15:18but first we need to take a
  • 15:18 --> 15:20short break for a medical minute.
  • 15:20 --> 15:23Please stay tuned to learn more about
  • 15:23 --> 15:25classical hematology with my guest,
  • 15:25 --> 15:26Doctor George Goshua.
  • 15:26 --> 15:28Funding for Yale Cancer Answers
  • 15:28 --> 15:31comes from Smilow Cancer Hospital,
  • 15:31 --> 15:33where their Center for Gastrointestinal
  • 15:33 --> 15:34Cancers provides patients with
  • 15:34 --> 15:36gastric cancers a comprehensive,
  • 15:36 --> 15:37multidisciplinary approach to
  • 15:37 --> 15:39the treatment of their cancer,
  • 15:39 --> 15:42including clinical trials.
  • 15:42 --> 15:45Smilowcancerhospital.org.
  • 15:45 --> 15:48Over 230,000 Americans will be
  • 15:48 --> 15:50diagnosed with lung cancer this year,
  • 15:50 --> 15:52and in Connecticut alone there
  • 15:52 --> 15:55will be over 2700 new cases.
  • 15:55 --> 15:57More than 85% of lung cancer
  • 15:57 --> 15:59diagnosis are related to smoking,
  • 15:59 --> 16:02and quitting even after decades of use,
  • 16:02 --> 16:04can significantly reduce your risk
  • 16:04 --> 16:06of developing lung cancer each day.
  • 16:06 --> 16:09Patients with lung cancer are surviving
  • 16:09 --> 16:11thanks to increased access to advanced
  • 16:11 --> 16:13therapies and specialized care.
  • 16:13 --> 16:14New treatment options and
  • 16:14 --> 16:16surgical techniques are giving
  • 16:16 --> 16:17lung cancer survivors more hope
  • 16:17 --> 16:19than they have ever had before.
  • 16:19 --> 16:22Clinical trials are currently underway
  • 16:22 --> 16:24at federally designated Comprehensive
  • 16:24 --> 16:26cancer centers such as the battle
  • 16:26 --> 16:28two trial at Yale Cancer Center and
  • 16:28 --> 16:30Smilow Cancer Hospital to learn if a
  • 16:30 --> 16:33drug or combination of drugs based
  • 16:33 --> 16:35on personal biomarkers can help to
  • 16:35 --> 16:37control non small cell lung cancer.
  • 16:37 --> 16:40More information is available
  • 16:40 --> 16:41at yalecancercenter.org.
  • 16:41 --> 16:43You're listening to Connecticut public radio.
  • 16:44 --> 16:46Welcome back to Yale Cancer Answers.
  • 16:46 --> 16:48This is doctor Anees Chagpar
  • 16:48 --> 16:50and I'm joined tonight by my guest,
  • 16:50 --> 16:51Doctor George Goshua.
  • 16:51 --> 16:54We're talking about the field of classical
  • 16:54 --> 16:56hematology and more specifically,
  • 16:56 --> 16:59Doctor Goshua has a special
  • 16:59 --> 17:01expertise in decision science.
  • 17:01 --> 17:03And right before the break,
  • 17:03 --> 17:06he was starting to tell us about how he
  • 17:06 --> 17:08brings decision science into the clinic.
  • 17:08 --> 17:10So George, maybe you can pick up
  • 17:10 --> 17:12the conversation where we left it.
  • 17:12 --> 17:14So as I understand
  • 17:14 --> 17:18we were talking about ITP and how there
  • 17:18 --> 17:22are three different options for treatment,
  • 17:22 --> 17:24surgical versus non surgical
  • 17:24 --> 17:27and these can be sequenced.
  • 17:27 --> 17:30We really don't have a lot
  • 17:30 --> 17:31of clinical trial data,
  • 17:31 --> 17:34but you were about to tell us kind
  • 17:34 --> 17:37of how you use decision analytics
  • 17:37 --> 17:40as we come back to this decision of
  • 17:40 --> 17:43splenectomy versus the medication options.
  • 17:43 --> 17:45We know what the data
  • 17:45 --> 17:48looks like at least observationally
  • 17:48 --> 17:50for splenectomy, right.
  • 17:50 --> 17:51We know it's risk profile.
  • 17:51 --> 17:54We know that over the last 20 years
  • 17:54 --> 17:56we've kind of moved away from it and
  • 17:56 --> 17:59I think in some ways for good reason.
  • 17:59 --> 18:01But the question then becomes
  • 18:01 --> 18:04what is that good reason,
  • 18:04 --> 18:06the good reason being that it's often
  • 18:06 --> 18:09assumed I think by us as physicians
  • 18:09 --> 18:11that our patients prefer therapies and
  • 18:11 --> 18:13therapeutics that are less invasive.
  • 18:13 --> 18:15And more often than not,
  • 18:15 --> 18:17that is correct.
  • 18:17 --> 18:20But sometimes there are circumstances
  • 18:20 --> 18:22where patients,
  • 18:22 --> 18:23their values and preferences
  • 18:23 --> 18:25of course are paramount.
  • 18:25 --> 18:26And so sometimes there are
  • 18:26 --> 18:28circumstances where you actually
  • 18:28 --> 18:30will have an individual who is
  • 18:30 --> 18:31interested in pursuing splenectomy.
  • 18:31 --> 18:33In this particular context,
  • 18:33 --> 18:35but will not because of the
  • 18:35 --> 18:37counseling that they receive.
  • 18:37 --> 18:39And so we wanted to take a very
  • 18:39 --> 18:42objective look at this and to model
  • 18:42 --> 18:44what would your life look like,
  • 18:44 --> 18:45you know,
  • 18:45 --> 18:47if you can simulate a thousands of
  • 18:47 --> 18:49times making one decision or another
  • 18:49 --> 18:51decision or yet another decision.
  • 18:51 --> 18:53And that is the beauty of
  • 18:53 --> 18:54decision analytic modeling.
  • 18:54 --> 18:56It allows us to quantify that.
  • 18:56 --> 18:59It allows us to run those simulations
  • 18:59 --> 19:02to make sure that we have addressed
  • 19:02 --> 19:04all of the concerns and so
  • 19:04 --> 19:05putting that all together,
  • 19:05 --> 19:08what we showed was that
  • 19:08 --> 19:09utilizing splenectomy early is
  • 19:09 --> 19:12absolutely fine and in fact the
  • 19:12 --> 19:14quality adjusted life years that you
  • 19:14 --> 19:18accrue if you as the patient make a
  • 19:18 --> 19:20decision to pursue splenectomy at
  • 19:20 --> 19:22least on a population level that
  • 19:22 --> 19:25is just as fine of a decision as
  • 19:25 --> 19:27pursuing the medication therapies.
  • 19:27 --> 19:29And so for those individuals
  • 19:29 --> 19:31for whom it makes sense,
  • 19:31 --> 19:32they shouldn't be dissuaded for
  • 19:32 --> 19:34pursuing a therapy that is going
  • 19:34 --> 19:36to be just as effective for them,
  • 19:36 --> 19:39if the two options are equivalent,
  • 19:39 --> 19:41patients may still be left
  • 19:41 --> 19:43in this decisional conundrum.
  • 19:43 --> 19:46And so how do you help patients with that?
  • 19:46 --> 19:49That drives back to one
  • 19:49 --> 19:52approach that my lab takes is to make
  • 19:52 --> 19:54sure that whenever we build models
  • 19:54 --> 19:56that try to approximate real life
  • 19:56 --> 19:58and that's what they are, right.
  • 19:58 --> 20:00There are only approximations.
  • 20:00 --> 20:02We always take the most
  • 20:02 --> 20:03conservative assumptions.
  • 20:03 --> 20:05And so for example,
  • 20:05 --> 20:06in that particular study,
  • 20:06 --> 20:08although we show equivalence where
  • 20:08 --> 20:11in the past the thought has been
  • 20:11 --> 20:14or the clinical practice has been
  • 20:14 --> 20:16to pursue the medication therapy.
  • 20:16 --> 20:18Although we show equivalence,
  • 20:18 --> 20:21in fact if you use assumptions
  • 20:21 --> 20:23that are more realistic,
  • 20:23 --> 20:25i.e do not downplay the benefits
  • 20:25 --> 20:28of splenectomy and do not over
  • 20:28 --> 20:31exaggerate the risks, which is what
  • 20:31 --> 20:32we did in this model,
  • 20:32 --> 20:35then you'll find that the splenectomy
  • 20:35 --> 20:38option becomes a little bit more
  • 20:38 --> 20:41favorable in certain circumstances.
  • 20:41 --> 20:43But separate from that because we're
  • 20:43 --> 20:45talking on a population level and
  • 20:45 --> 20:47the really exciting bit is that
  • 20:47 --> 20:49we can take that and then we
  • 20:49 --> 20:50can personalize it, right?
  • 20:50 --> 20:52Because this is on a population level,
  • 20:52 --> 20:54this is all comers.
  • 20:54 --> 20:56If you're a 30 year old woman
  • 20:56 --> 20:59versus if you're a 55 year old man,
  • 20:59 --> 21:01there's a very real difference
  • 21:01 --> 21:02in your actual responses,
  • 21:02 --> 21:05a 30 year old woman will have
  • 21:05 --> 21:07a much better outcome,
  • 21:07 --> 21:08typically with splenectomy than
  • 21:08 --> 21:11a 55 year old man as compared
  • 21:11 --> 21:12to the medication therapies.
  • 21:12 --> 21:15And so the next steps for
  • 21:15 --> 21:17that particular question are
  • 21:17 --> 21:19to personalize and
  • 21:19 --> 21:20not just to see,
  • 21:20 --> 21:22but to actually give an opportunity
  • 21:22 --> 21:24for physicians right through
  • 21:24 --> 21:25an easy visual interface,
  • 21:25 --> 21:27essentially where they can plug
  • 21:27 --> 21:29in the parameters of importance
  • 21:29 --> 21:31like age and gender and other
  • 21:31 --> 21:33diseases that may be at play that
  • 21:33 --> 21:34we know affect these risks.
  • 21:34 --> 21:36To then in their clinic calculate
  • 21:36 --> 21:38and simulate what actually
  • 21:38 --> 21:40happened the vast majority of the
  • 21:40 --> 21:42time and to be able to provide
  • 21:42 --> 21:44those estimates to patients so
  • 21:44 --> 21:45they can make a decision that
  • 21:45 --> 21:46makes the most sense for them.
  • 21:48 --> 21:51And that sounds,
  • 21:51 --> 21:54you know, really quite wonderful if
  • 21:54 --> 21:57you're able to take all of the data,
  • 21:57 --> 22:00put it into an analytic model that can
  • 22:00 --> 22:02be personalized so that people can say,
  • 22:02 --> 22:05OK, tell me what's best for me and you
  • 22:05 --> 22:08can put in all of those parameters.
  • 22:08 --> 22:10That sounds really quite wonderful.
  • 22:10 --> 22:15Has that found its way into the clinic in
  • 22:15 --> 22:19hematology specifically, but then if it
  • 22:19 --> 22:22has, where are we going in terms of taking
  • 22:22 --> 22:25that into the clinic for many, many,
  • 22:25 --> 22:28many other diseases where patients still
  • 22:28 --> 22:31struggle with well, what should I do?
  • 22:31 --> 22:33Should I, if I have breast cancer,
  • 22:33 --> 22:35should I have a lumpectomy?
  • 22:35 --> 22:36Should I have a mastectomy,
  • 22:36 --> 22:38should I do one side,
  • 22:38 --> 22:39should I do both sides?
  • 22:39 --> 22:43I mean I can see where this kind of
  • 22:43 --> 22:46modeling would be helpful across diseases.
  • 22:48 --> 22:51Yes. And it has been utilized
  • 22:51 --> 22:53in other disease areas not
  • 22:53 --> 22:55yet in classical hematology,
  • 22:55 --> 22:57but I'm really glad you brought
  • 22:57 --> 22:59up the example of breast cancer.
  • 22:59 --> 23:00The United States Preventative
  • 23:00 --> 23:02Services Task Force,
  • 23:02 --> 23:03their recommendation is actually
  • 23:03 --> 23:05based on micro simulation modeling,
  • 23:05 --> 23:08which is a different kind of
  • 23:08 --> 23:09decision analytic modeling for
  • 23:09 --> 23:11patients with breast cancer.
  • 23:11 --> 23:13Micro simulations have also
  • 23:13 --> 23:15been employed to inform the care
  • 23:15 --> 23:17of patients with lung cancer
  • 23:17 --> 23:18and lung cancer screening.
  • 23:18 --> 23:20So there's a very real opportunity
  • 23:20 --> 23:23here to be able to apply to a
  • 23:23 --> 23:25field where we have diseases that
  • 23:25 --> 23:28are also rare and also quite
  • 23:28 --> 23:30consequential for our patients.
  • 23:30 --> 23:32And that's the exciting part of it too.
  • 23:32 --> 23:34And the exciting bit specifically
  • 23:34 --> 23:36is the fact that
  • 23:36 --> 23:38the decision science methodologists
  • 23:40 --> 23:43have been pushing that field forward for
  • 23:43 --> 23:46many decades now and the opportunity to
  • 23:46 --> 23:49then take the clinical knowledge that
  • 23:49 --> 23:51that we've accumulated as physicians
  • 23:51 --> 23:54and to be able to try and fuse those
  • 23:54 --> 23:56areas of expertise that is what drove
  • 23:56 --> 23:59me to this point because it gives me
  • 23:59 --> 24:01a unique opportunity to work with some
  • 24:01 --> 24:03of the brightest minds and decision
  • 24:03 --> 24:05science and some of the brightest
  • 24:05 --> 24:08minds in clinical medicine to try and
  • 24:08 --> 24:09conceptualize these problems and
  • 24:09 --> 24:11capture them in a way that actually can
  • 24:11 --> 24:14inform one health policy and then second,
  • 24:14 --> 24:16individualized treatment decisions
  • 24:16 --> 24:17for patients.
  • 24:18 --> 24:20So a couple of questions on that.
  • 24:20 --> 24:22So the first question is why hasn't
  • 24:22 --> 24:25it found its way into clinical
  • 24:25 --> 24:27practice in clinical hematology?
  • 24:27 --> 24:29I mean, at the outset you made a
  • 24:29 --> 24:32very nice case for using decision
  • 24:32 --> 24:34science in classical hematology,
  • 24:34 --> 24:37that being that we don't have large
  • 24:37 --> 24:39randomized control trials for what are,
  • 24:39 --> 24:42you know, often rare diseases,
  • 24:42 --> 24:45one would think that this would be an ideal
  • 24:45 --> 24:47platform for the classical hematology.
  • 24:47 --> 24:48So why hasn't it
  • 24:48 --> 24:50found its way into clinical practice yet?
  • 24:51 --> 24:55I think 2 reasons, probably one
  • 24:55 --> 24:58decision science methodologically is,
  • 24:58 --> 25:00I've been told a few times, one of
  • 25:00 --> 25:03the most niche, if not the most niche,
  • 25:03 --> 25:08area speaking methodologically,
  • 25:08 --> 25:11there's just not a lot of decision
  • 25:11 --> 25:13scientists in this country.
  • 25:13 --> 25:14There's a little bit of a hub on the
  • 25:14 --> 25:16West Coast, a little bit in the Midwest,
  • 25:16 --> 25:18and one here in the Northeast.
  • 25:18 --> 25:20And that's kind of mostly it.
  • 25:21 --> 25:26And all of them are at the very least,
  • 25:26 --> 25:30of course Doctors of philosophy.
  • 25:30 --> 25:33So PHD's, but MD's and MD,
  • 25:33 --> 25:35PhDs and MD's who do decision
  • 25:35 --> 25:38science are far and few in between.
  • 25:38 --> 25:39In the United States specifically,
  • 25:39 --> 25:41this is different in Europe
  • 25:41 --> 25:43and different in Canada.
  • 25:43 --> 25:45And that ties into point #2,
  • 25:45 --> 25:47which is that
  • 25:47 --> 25:49in general, you know,
  • 25:49 --> 25:50the decision science umbrella
  • 25:50 --> 25:53includes so many different aspects
  • 25:53 --> 25:55where you can do simulations,
  • 25:55 --> 25:56where you can weigh decisions.
  • 25:56 --> 25:58But if you want to completely
  • 25:58 --> 25:59separate from that,
  • 25:59 --> 26:02you can also layer in costs.
  • 26:02 --> 26:06And I think that is especially here
  • 26:06 --> 26:09in the United States when you start to
  • 26:09 --> 26:11talk about those two concepts together,
  • 26:11 --> 26:14costs and effectiveness, right?
  • 26:14 --> 26:16So cost effectiveness,
  • 26:16 --> 26:17especially during
  • 26:17 --> 26:20the period here in the
  • 26:20 --> 26:23Mid 2000s and the early twenty 10s
  • 26:23 --> 26:25with the Affordable Care Act and
  • 26:25 --> 26:27this conversation about who makes
  • 26:27 --> 26:29decisions about your health care,
  • 26:29 --> 26:32who makes decisions about how much
  • 26:32 --> 26:34is too expensive to pay right.
  • 26:34 --> 26:38These are discussions that in some
  • 26:38 --> 26:42ways shaped and morphed the discussion
  • 26:44 --> 26:47unwillingly in a way about
  • 26:47 --> 26:48about decision analytics,
  • 26:48 --> 26:52but we're in a period where now
  • 26:52 --> 26:56our President has signed into law
  • 26:56 --> 27:01an act that will go forward
  • 27:01 --> 27:04in 2026 and give CMS an opportunity
  • 27:04 --> 27:06to start negotiating drug prices.
  • 27:06 --> 27:09So I think reason #2 has to do
  • 27:09 --> 27:11with this thorny issue of costs
  • 27:11 --> 27:13and who makes those decisions.
  • 27:13 --> 27:14The reality is, at the end of the day,
  • 27:14 --> 27:16cost also matters, right?
  • 27:16 --> 27:19And we need to be able to account for it.
  • 27:19 --> 27:21Now, whether we make decisions on it or not,
  • 27:21 --> 27:23it's totally up to us.
  • 27:25 --> 27:28I mean, one would think that
  • 27:28 --> 27:30decision analytics plays such a key
  • 27:30 --> 27:33role in terms of actually grounding
  • 27:33 --> 27:37the cost decision in data and on risks
  • 27:37 --> 27:41at each decision point along the way.
  • 27:41 --> 27:43You mentioned that you're interested
  • 27:43 --> 27:45in public policy and using decision
  • 27:45 --> 27:48analytics to guide public policy and
  • 27:48 --> 27:51at the same time individualized care.
  • 27:51 --> 27:53Can you talk a little bit in our
  • 27:53 --> 27:55last minute about how those two
  • 27:55 --> 27:58are either at odds or how they come together?
  • 27:59 --> 28:01Well, I think they can fuse beautifully
  • 28:01 --> 28:03together, but methodologically
  • 28:03 --> 28:05they need to stay separate.
  • 28:05 --> 28:08There are definitely ways that we can help
  • 28:08 --> 28:10individuals personalize their treatments.
  • 28:10 --> 28:11And one of the avenues that we're
  • 28:11 --> 28:13going to expand out into is looking
  • 28:13 --> 28:15at out of pocket costs in this realm,
  • 28:15 --> 28:18which hasn't really been done a lot at all.
  • 28:18 --> 28:20And then separate from that,
  • 28:20 --> 28:23keep the health system policy issues separate
  • 28:23 --> 28:25and the stakeholders are very different.
  • 28:25 --> 28:27So you need to be able to cater
  • 28:27 --> 28:28to those specific stakeholders
  • 28:28 --> 28:30and I think we're
  • 28:30 --> 28:31going to be able to do both.
  • 28:31 --> 28:34Doctor George Goshua is an
  • 28:34 --> 28:36assistant professor of medicine in
  • 28:36 --> 28:39hematology at the Yale School of Medicine.
  • 28:39 --> 28:41If you have questions,
  • 28:41 --> 28:43the address is canceranswers@yale.edu,
  • 28:43 --> 28:45and past editions of the program
  • 28:45 --> 28:48are available in audio and written
  • 28:48 --> 28:49form at yalecancercenter.org.
  • 28:49 --> 28:51We hope you'll join us next week to
  • 28:51 --> 28:53learn more about the fight against
  • 28:53 --> 28:55cancer here on Connecticut Public Radio.
  • 28:55 --> 28:57Funding for Yale Cancer Answers is
  • 28:57 --> 29:00provided by Smilow Cancer Hospital.